Future of War and Tech

The AI Revolution is Already Here. Defense One, April 15, 2024.

Humans must be held responsible for decisions AI weapons make. The Asahi Shimbun, March 25, 2024.

We Have China’s ‘Anti-Access’ Challenge Exactly Backward. Defense One, November 29, 2023.

The U.S. Army Has a Recruitment Problem. Here’s How to Solve It. Time, March 7, 2023.

One Year In: What Are the Lessons from Ukraine for the Future of War? New America Policy Brief, February 22, 2023.

20 Ways to Win the Future of War, and Not One Is a Balloon. Military.com, Feb. 24, 2023.

Point of Origin: What Comes Next in a World of Advanced Tech Gone Global? DefenseScoop, September 13, 2022.

Tests in Fifth Fleet a Bridge to Future. Proceedings, July 2022.

Warships are evolving, but they won’t go away. Washington Post, April, 28, 2022.

The ‘No-Fly Zone’ Test: Want to put U.S. or allied aircraft over Ukraine? Answer these questions first. Defense One, March 13, 2022.

BURN-IN

Microdrones, AI, and VR glasses: A sneak peek into the future of war and how we’ll train for it. Task&Purpose, March 20, 2021.

Thinking The Unthinkable With Useful Fiction in the Canadian Army’s Journal of Future Conflict, November 2020.

Why We Need Dystopian Fiction Now More Than Ever. Slate, July 18, 2020.

10 Ways To Hack DC: The Future of Cybersecurity and Cyberthreats. New America, June 13, 2020.

Protests of the Future Will Have More Anger, More AI, More Helplessness. The Daily Beast, June 7, 2020.

AI, AR, and the (Somewhat) Speculative Future of a Tech-Fueled FBI, Wired.com, June 5, 2020.

A Fact-Based Fantasy With Drones, Robots, and Rioting on the Washington Mall. The Daily Beast, May 25, 2020.

A futurist on COVID-19 and business: Pandora’s box is now open. Protocol, April 19, 2020.

A Warning From Tomorrow. Opening to the Cyber Solarium Commission report, March 2020.

From Dresden to drone: the morality of air war. Financial Times, January 24, 2020.

What Will the World Look Like in 2030? New York Times Opinion, Dec 26, 2019.

GHOST FLEET

What Do We Know About China’s Newest Missiles? Defense One, March 19, 2021.

An Eye for A Storm: Imagining the Future of Professional Military Education. The Forge. March 2021.

China’s Military-Civil Fusion Strategy: What to Expect in the Next Five Years. Defence One. February 18, 2021.

The World Wonders. U.S. Naval Institute, September 2020.

The Future of War is Already Here. New York Times, Sept 18, 2019.

The rise of AI is sparking an international arms race. Vox, September 13, 2017.

The Next War. Slate, September 6, 2017.

China’s Race to Space Domination. Popular Science, September 2016.

What We Know About the Wars of The Future. (pdf). Aviation Week and Space Technology, May 9, 2016.

The Lessons of World War III
Testimony to the Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on “The Future of War”
Nov 3, 2015.

Humans Can’t Escape Killer Robots, but Humans Can Be Held Accountable for Them
Vice News
April 15, 2016.

Droids and The Force: How the Science in ‘Star Wars’ Is Actually Real
The Wall Street Journal
December 14, 2015.

Game of Drones(pdf)
The Sydney Morning Herald
December 5, 2015.

Warfare has changed forever now that there are no secrets
Wired UK
November 27, 2015.

Drones: The Science Fiction Technology of Tomorrow is Already Here Today
Future Horizons
Fall 2015.

The new race for the game changers of future wars
CNN Opinion
November 3, 2015.

Here’s how World War Three could start tomorrow
The Telegraph
November 24, 2015.

Tomorrow’s Terrorist
Vice-Motherboard, 
September 17, 2015.

War, Forever
Vice-Motherboard
September 14, 2015.

Flight Plan
Slate
August 27, 2015.

How Fiction can Reveal the Horrors of Future Wars
Wired
August 7, 2015.

Traveling Back to Look Ahead at the Future of War
Writer’s Digest
July 29, 2015.

The Future of War
Popular Science
July 20, 2015.

The weapons the U.S. needs for a war it doesn’t want
Reuters
July 20, 2015.

The Reality of Cyberwar
Politico Magazine
July 9, 2015.

The Future of War
Defense One
July 7, 2015.

Space could be the battlefield for World War III
CNN
July 1, 2015.

Is War with China Avoidable?
Popular Science
July 1, 2015.

Exploring Cyber Weapons of the Future and World War III with the Author of ‘Ghost Fleet’
Vice
June 30, 2015.

Try to ID these weapons of World War III
Foreign Policy
June 30, 2015.

How to Write About World War III
The Atlantic
June 30, 2015.

What Weapons would China use in World War III?
Popular Science
June 30, 2015.

The Big Idea
Whatever
June 30, 2015.

Ghosts in the Machine
Medium: The Pendulum
June 30, 2015.

Weapons of the Next War
The Diplomat
June 30, 2015.

This Is What World War III Will Look Like
Time
June 30, 2015.

A Conversation on the ‘Next World War’
Real Clear Defense
June 29, 2015.

U.S. Military’s Tech Primacy Challenged by Private, Foreign Development
World Politics Review
June 29, 2015.

From unmanned fighters to orbital lasers, how the U.S. and China could fight a war
The Washington Post
June 29, 2015.

The Art of World War III
Vice Motherboard
June 24, 2015.

Reading War With China
The American Conservative
June 22, 2015

WIRED FOR WAR

The Next President Will Decide the Fate of Killer Robots and the Future of War
Wired
September 6, 2016.

Robocops are here. It’s time to create rules for how police can use them.
Vox
August 9, 2016.

The Police Used a Robot to Kill: The Questions.
CNN.com
July 10, 2016.

Humans Can’t Escape Killer Robots, but Humans Can Be Held Accountable for Them
Vice News
April 15, 2016.

The 3D Printed War
Motherboard
May 21, 2015.

Ask Your 2016 Candidate These Questions on Drone Warfare
Defense One
May 18, 2015.

The future of war will be robotic
CNN
February 23, 2015.

Secretive D.O.D Drone Dodges Defenses at Hypersonic Speed
Popular Science
December 12, 2014.

Drones, Warfare, Science Fiction and Cybercrime: A Conversation with P.W. Singer
TED Blog
November 20, 2013.

Game of Drones
Estadao
October 26, 2013.

Lessons on Defense Strategy from the Interwar Years
Armed Forces Journal
August 2013.

International Review of the Red Cross Interview
June 30, 2013.

Lessons and Context of the Navy’s First Carrier Drone Flight
Brookings Institute
May 15, 2013.

Finally, Obama Breaks His Silence on Drones
LA Times
May 23, 2013.

Die Zukunft is schon da
Internationale Politik
May 2013.

The Global Swarm
Foreign Policy
March 11, 2013.

The Predator Comes Home: A Primer on Domestic Drones, their Huge Business Opportunities, and their Deep Political, Moral, and Legal Challenges
Brookings 
March 8, 2013.

Obama, Own Your Secret Wars
New York Daily News
February 17, 2013.

A Military Medal for Drone Strikes? Makes Sense.
Washington Post
February 15, 2013.

The Opportunities and Challenges of the Coming Domestic Drone Boom
Christopher Newport University Center for American Studies
January 28, 2013.

An Obama Doctrine on New Rules of War
Brookings Institute
January 17, 2013.

The Robotics Revolution
Canadian International Council
December 11, 2012.

Tell US the One About the Robots, Mr. President.
Foreign Policy
October 23, 2012.

Baby Steps: The Drone IndustryÂ’s Code of Conduct
The Atlantic
July 19, 2012.

Mords-Maschinen
German Technology Review
May 2, 2012.

Do Drones Undermine Democracy?
The New York Times
January 25, 2012.

The Future of Naval Aviation: This CenturyÂ’s Naval Aviation Pioneers Flying Unmanned Aircraft
Washington Post
December 6, 2011.

Military Robotics and Ethics: A World of Killer Apps
Nature
September 21, 2011.

U Turn: Unmanned Systems Could be Casualties of Budgetary Pressures
Armed Forces Journal
April 2011.

Battlefields of the Future
SudDeutsche Zeitung
February 4, 2011.

The Ethics of New Military Technology
Journal of Military Ethics
December 2010.

War of the Machines
Scientific American
July, 2010.

We, Robot 
Slate Magazine
May 28, 2010.

How the U.S. Military Can Win the Robotic Revolution
Popular Mechanics
May 13, 2010.

Congressional Testimony
The United States House of Representative, Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, Subcommittee on National Security and Foreign Affairs
March 23, 2010.

Will Foreign Drones One Day Attack the U.S.?
Newsweek
February 28, 2010.

The Unmanned Mission
Fortune
February 22, 2010.

War of the Robots — All Too Real Questions We Have to Ask
Nieman Watchdog
January 17, 2010.

Robotique: La révolution est en marche (pdf)
Défense & Sécurité Internationale
N.55, Janvier 2010, p. 34-36.

A Revolution Once More: Unmanned Systems and the Middle East
(Arabic Translation PDF)
Future Horizon
Nov. 1, 2009, pp. 83-87.

War Games (pdf)
FHM
November 2009.

Wired for War: the future of military robots
Wired (UK)
August 28, 2009.

Tactical Generals: Leaders, Technology, and the Perils of Battlefield Micromanagement
Air and Space Power Journal
Summer 2009.

Attack of the Drones
The National (UAE)
June 27, 2009.

The Rise of the Tactical General
Armed Forces Journal
June 2009.

Gaming the Robot Revolution
Slate
May 22, 2009.

Wired For War or How We Learned to Stop Worrying and Let Dystopian SF Movies Inspire our Military Bots
H+ Plus
May 20, 2009.

Asimov’s Laws of Robotics Are Total BS
Gizmodo
May 18, 2009.

We’re Inventing the Future
Washingtonian Magazine
May 2009.

Robots at War
Popular Science
April 7, 2009.

The 3 Laws May Not Be Enough To Guide Robot Warriors
io9
April 1, 2009.

Wired for War: Author Explains Revolution in Robotics, Scares Crap Out of Us
Gizmodo
March 23, 2009.

Q&A with P.W. Singer
National Post
March 16, 2009.

Q&A: The robot wars have arrived
CNET: Planetary Gear Blog
March 12, 2009.

Robots and the Rise of ‘Tactical Generals’
Defense News
March 9, 2009.

P.W. Singer on War as Entertainment
Big Think Podcast
February 16, 2009.

Wired for War? Robots and Military Doctrine
Joint Forces Quarterly
Winter 2009, issue 52, p. 104-110.

Military Robots and the Laws of War
The New Atlantis
Winter 2009.

Inside the Rise of the Warbots
Wired.com
February 4, 2009.

American Killing Machines
Los Angeles Times
January 30, 2009.

Military 2.0: Should You Fear the Killer Robots?
Mother Jones
January 29, 2009.

In the Loop? Armed Robots and the Future of War
Defense Industry Daily
January 28, 2009.

Prepare for the Robot Wars: Six questions for P.W. Singer, author of Wired for War
Harper’s
January 27, 2009

DEFENSE ISSUES

Why We Need Dystopian Fiction Now More Than Ever. Slate, July 18, 2020.

“Pushing the Creative Envelope for an Operational Edge” in US Army “Invisible Force” Graphic Novel, July 2020.

As Coronavirus Spreads, China’s Military Is Largely MIA. Defense One, February, 6, 2020.

From Dresden to drone: the morality of air war. Financial Times, January 24, 2020.

The Snake-And-Alligator Border Moat: A Budget Analysis. Defense One, Oct 3, 2019.

What Insurgency Will Look Like in 2030. Defense One, April 28, 2019.

Insurgency in 2030: A Primer on The Future of Technology and COIN. New America, April 22, 2019.

Jon Snow Would Actually Make a Great General. Daily Beast, April 13, 2019.

The Next President Will Decide the Fate of Killer Robots and the Future of War
Wired
September 6, 2016

What the 2016 Presidential Candidates Get Wrong About the Future of War
Defense One
March 7, 2016

Short Legs Can’t Win Arms Races
War on the Rocks
May 20, 2015

Technology’s Dilemmas: Are We Wired to Respond
Vanguard
May 2015

What the ISIS Campaign Teaches Us About the Future of War
Defense One
April 16, 2015

What Is the Future of War?
Defense One
February 23, 2015

The wars that come after wars (II): How one can start, or fuel, another one
Best Defense
September 9, 2014

2014: The Year of the Eastern Arsenal
Popular Science
March 3, 2014

Why We Write
Popular Science
March 2, 2014

From Fuzzy to Focus: Questions to Ask About Strategic Land Power
Armed Force Journal
November 6, 2013

Bad Idea for the PentagonÂ’s Ideas Shop
War on the Rocks
October 29, 2013

About Those Chinese Aircraft Carrier Pics: What We Know and What We Can Guess
Defense One
August 8, 2013

Inside China’s Secret Arsenal
Popular Science
January 2013

Sequestration and What it Might Mean for American Military Power, Asia, and the Flashpoint of Korea
Time
September 24, 2012

The Cracked Crystal Ball: The Problem with Predicting Sequestration and Defense Jobs
Brookings Report
July 31, 2012

Strategic Reform Can Help Offset Budget Impasse
Politico
June 24, 2012

The Evolution of Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs)
Armed Forces Journal
February 2012

The Arsenal of Democracy and How to Preserve It: Key Issues in Defense Industrial Policy
The Brookings Institution
January 27, 2012

Direct Digital Manufacturing: The Industrial Game Changer YouÂ’ve Never Heard Of
Armed Forces Journal
October 2011

Think Before You Cut
Foreign Policy
August 2011

The Real Defense Budget Questions
POLITICO
July 22, 2011

A Defense Policy Vision
Air Force Journal
June 2011

The Future of National Security, By the Numbers
Joint Forces Quarterly
May 2011

The Marine Corps Is All Right
Armed Forces Journal
March 2011

Tough Times: The New British Security Strategy and the Lessons for U.S. Policymakers
Armed Forces Journal
December 2010

The End of Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell: A Long Time Coming, But No More Time to Waste
Brookings Up Front
December 21, 2010

Writing About Defense, But at What Price?
Brookings Up Front
December 13, 2010

“Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” on Constitution Day
The Brookings Institution
September 22, 2010

Don’t Ask. Tell.
Newsweek
June 4, 2010

America 2021: The Military and the World
Democracy Journal
Summmer 2010

Don’t Make a Big Deal of Ending Don’t Ask Don’t Tell: Lessons from U.S. Military Allies on Allowing Homosexuals to Serve
The Brookings Institution
June 2, 2010

A Disappointing Review: The 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review is Short on Specific Goals and Ways to Measure Success
LA Times
February 2, 2010

New Year’s Resolutions for the Pentagon
Washington Examiner
December 22, 2009

Why Hollywood Security Is Better Than The Pentagon’s
CNN.com
December 21, 2009

How to Steal from Our Troops: The Annual Defense Budget Raid
Washington Examiner
October, 20 2009

From Cropdusting to Counterinsurgency?
Washington Examiner
September 22, 2009

Fueling the “Balance”: A Defense Energy Strategy Primer
Brookings Institute
August 25, 2009

Fueling Our Security: The Need for a Defense Energy Strategy
Brookings Institute
August 25, 2009

Who’ is afraid of the big, bad Chinese aircraft carrier?
Washington Examiner
July 28, 2009

How The Real World Ended “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell”
Brookings Foreign Policy Paper
Number 6, August 2008

The Defense Challenges for the Next Commander-in-Chief
RUSI: Royal United States Services Institute for Defense and Security Studies
June 2008, Vol. 153, No. 3

Steering The NavyÂ’s Littoral Combat Ship Program Off The Shoals
Defense News
May 19, 2008

A commander for Millennial military
Gulf News
May 11, 2008

How To Be All That You Can Be: A Look At The PentagonÂ’s Five Step Plan For Making Iron Man Real
The Brookings Institution
May 02, 2008

A Commander in Chief for Generation Y
Originally published as “Train and Protect Those Who Serve Us”, Miami Herald
April 8, 2008

Interview with ABC’s Martha Raddatz on Military Readiness
ABC News
December 19, 2007

Bent But Not Broken: The Military Challenge for the Next Commander in Chief
Opportunity ’08 – A Project of Brookings In Partnership with ABC News
March 2007

Mike Tyson and the Hornet’s Nest: Military Lessons of the Lebanon Crisis
The Brookings Institution
August 1, 2006

Arming Kabul, Disarming Cabals
written with Anja Manuel
foreignaffairs.org
September 22, 2004

New Thinking on Transatlantic Security: Terrorism, NATO, and Beyond
(Speech) Weltpolitik
January 15, 2003

AIDS and International Security
Survival (Volume 44, no. 1)
April 1, 2002

Who’s the Big Winner? All Services Likely to Reap Rewards
Defense News
December 18, 2001